CVDD
Awaiting trial
Registered - formula and source fixed - and awaiting either its own admission run or its cluster representative's verdict.
What it claims to measure
Cost basis (valuation)
Definition and source
- Formula:
cum(value-days destroyed in USD) / (age * 6M) - Data source:
bitcoin-data.com(confirmed) - Signal history in the matrix: 105 weeks
Observed correlations vs tested instruments
| Versus | Spearman rho | Window | Tier |
|---|---|---|---|
| nupl | +0.975 | 105 weeks | provisional / below threshold |
| mvrv-z-score | +0.955 | 105 weeks | provisional / below threshold |
| power-law | +0.919 | 105 weeks | provisional / below threshold |
Confirmed means the correlation held at |rho| ≥ 0.85 over at least four years AND in both halves of the window independently. Anything less is reported but never used to assign a verdict.
Challenge this status
Every status here is falsifiable. If you can demonstrate this instrument decorrelates from its assigned representative - or measures a phenomenon we have missed - it earns its own full trial, and the record publishes either way. The petition channel opens with the public repository.