ΦBitcoin Field Theory

The Census

SOPR

Awaiting trial

Registered - formula and source fixed - and awaiting either its own admission run or its cluster representative's verdict.

What it claims to measure

Profit-taking behavior (behavior)

Definition and source

Observed correlations vs tested instruments

VersusSpearman rhoWindowTier
nupl+0.881105 weeksprovisional / below threshold
mvrv-z-score+0.862105 weeksprovisional / below threshold
power-law+0.829105 weeksprovisional / below threshold

Confirmed means the correlation held at |rho| ≥ 0.85 over at least four years AND in both halves of the window independently. Anything less is reported but never used to assign a verdict.

Challenge this status

Every status here is falsifiable. If you can demonstrate this instrument decorrelates from its assigned representative - or measures a phenomenon we have missed - it earns its own full trial, and the record publishes either way. The petition channel opens with the public repository.

Back to the Census Get new verdicts first